Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.718103 0.844232 0.980770 1.138930 1.316439 1.508868 1.732578
2025-08-10 0.491897 0.660217 0.860950 1.114841 1.424061 1.785041 2.234665
2025-08-17 0.338960 0.517682 0.751282 1.071146 1.489211 2.008207 2.691394
2025-08-24 0.253051 0.435542 0.694563 1.074331 1.600613 2.287001 3.230361
2025-08-31 0.190193 0.367928 0.640776 1.066639 1.688192 2.534022 3.739492
2025-09-07 0.155265 0.333366 0.626065 1.107555 1.840661 2.872682 4.385896
2025-09-14 0.126177 0.300410 0.606270 1.134815 1.971315 3.185229 5.010354
2025-09-21 0.096389 0.257401 0.560949 1.113311 2.022827 3.383617 5.481001
2025-09-28 0.079529 0.235074 0.546906 1.139411 2.147159 3.692402 6.121478
2025-10-05 0.065654 0.214907 0.532705 1.161984 2.265236 3.995661 6.765153
2025-10-12 0.054058 0.196288 0.517768 1.180229 2.375540 4.290483 7.406686
2025-10-19 0.042973 0.174941 0.492970 1.176223 2.445988 4.524308 7.963245
2025-10-26 0.031910 0.149393 0.454832 1.143283 2.466016 4.683263 8.419982
2025-11-02 0.024996 0.133357 0.435066 1.144350 2.546697 4.945414 9.050686
2025-11-09 0.018075 0.113265 0.400759 1.110230 2.559070 5.093794 9.506172
2025-11-16 0.014201 0.102303 0.387063 1.117977 2.649522 5.376766 10.187451
2025-11-23 0.010749 0.090615 0.368468 1.111929 2.711973 5.613436 10.800801
2025-11-30 0.009137 0.086662 0.371131 1.155020 2.873810 6.029935 11.724911
2025-12-07 0.007486 0.081185 0.367929 1.183545 3.007732 6.402022 12.586340
2025-12-14 0.005351 0.070472 0.345324 1.161467 3.035833 6.585055 13.134396
2025-12-21 0.004332 0.066075 0.342470 1.188510 3.167691 6.960862 14.021553
2025-12-28 0.003457 0.061670 0.338440 1.211869 3.292822 7.328657 14.905328
2026-01-04 0.002709 0.057215 0.333020 1.230736 3.409078 7.683908 15.777135